As U.S. cases surged to their highest one-day total, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) just released its “Forecasts of Total Deaths” for the coronavirus and a number of states are in trouble. “This week’s national ensemble forecast suggests that there will likely be between 130,000 and 150,000 total reported COVID-19 deaths by July 18th,” reports the agency, who reviewed 20 individual national forecasts. Here are the states the CDC says “will likely exceed the number” of deaths “reported over the last four weeks.”
With 59,974 cases and 1,463 deaths, Arizona has been a national point of concern, with one hospital administrator saying they are “overwhelmed” by requests for tests. “Arizona’s reported cases have been rising at a faster rate than testing has increased in the state in recent weeks, prompting government officials to implement new policies regarding face masks and restaurant operations,” reports KTAR. “For the more than 599,000 PCR tests given for active infections in the state since the start of the pandemic, including 10,052 reported Wednesday, the positive rate jumped to 10.7%, continuing an upward surge since the start of the month.”
“Gov. Asa Hutchinson announced at a news conference that he is ramping up contact tracing to try to limit the spread of the virus across the state. The Department of Health will double the number of contact tracers from 350 to 700 by mid-July—a $22 million expansion,” reports ABC7. “We have to have these resources,” Hutchinson said. “This is flowing across the United States at different times and different ways and no state is immune to it, that’s what we’ve seen.”
“California has seen a 69% rise in coronavirus cases in just two days, governor Gavin Newsom said on Wednesday, as the state continues to battle a surge of new infections and hospitalizations,” reports the Guardian. “The state has witnessed an alarming jump in cases as communities reopen from lockdown restrictions. Los Angeles county now leads the nation with more than 88,500 cases, according to data from Johns Hopkins University.” The state has 190,000 cases 5,632 deaths.
Considered a possible epicenter of the virus, the state has 109,000 cases and 3,281 deaths. “As Florida emerges from its coronavirus shutdown, the state is experiencing a surge of Covid-19 cases, with younger Floridians accounting for a significant number of positive tests,” reports CNN. “Medical experts and elected officials have attributed the rising numbers to a combination of more testing and more social contact as businesses reopen and, in recent weeks, to people’s participation in large protests, although that has not been clearly established.”
Hawaii has only 816 confirmed cases and 17 deaths, but “after seeing several days of single-digit increases, Hawaii is reporting 16 new COVID-19 cases on Wednesday as several known clusters continue to grow,” reports Hawaii News Now.
The state has 18,143 cases and 961 deaths. “I never expected that within such a short period of time, my home town would become a COVID hotspot, as it has now,” physician Erik Martin of Joplin told KBIA. The virus has hit rural parts of the state particularly hard. “One provider, who works at a federally qualified health center in the region and agreed to speak anonymously says the last week has been, ‘pure hell,'” according to the network. “She says her clinic has done hundreds of tests, and are facing a shortage of test kits.”
The 13,535 cases and 489 deaths—along with the reopening of casinos—has authorities spooked. “Nevada Governor Steve Sisolak has announced that he has signed a directive requiring all people to wear face coverings while in public, to help prevent the spread of coronavirus,” reports KVVU. “For Nevada to stay open, we must make face coverings a part of our daily lives,” Sisolak said.
The numbers keep rising in the wrong direction: 56,174 cases and 1,271 deaths. With the state becoming yet another national worry, “Gov. Roy Cooper has ordered people across the state to wear masks or other face coverings in public to fight the spread of COVID-19,” according to ABC11. “New York, Connecticut and New Jersey are asking visitors from states with high coronavirus infection rates, like North Carolina, to quarantine in an announcement made as summer travel would normally swing into high gear.”
Its 10,733 cases and 369 deaths come on the heels of the Trump rally, at which the president said he asked authorities to reduce testing so there’d be fewer cases. “Oklahoma’s spike of COVID-19 cases continued Wednesday as the state reported a record increase of 482 new coronavirus cases within 24 hours,” reports the Oklahoman. “Oklahoma City Mayor David Holt said he will be keeping a close eye watch on hospitalization numbers to determine if the city needs greater social restrictions. Tulsa health officials said it’s too soon to attribute any increase in infections there to President Donald Trump’s campaign rally at the BOK Center on Saturday.”
“We are now a state on the national picture among a handful of other states considered to be hot spots,” Dr. Linda Bell, State Epidemiologist, said. South Carolina has 25,701 cases and 659 deaths but some people don’t seem to care. “Health officials are urging young people to take the coronavirus more seriously as large gatherings continue to pop-up around the state,” reports WLTX. “In Clarendon County, hundreds gathered over the weekend for an outdoor music festival, raising alarm for local officials.”
“Wilson County Mayor Randall Hutto declared a state of emergency after the 14-day average daily number of new coronavirus cases hit 11.4 and has gone up seven days in a row,” reports WATE. The state has 35,553 cases and 531 deaths. The largest county, Shelby County, which includes the city of Memphis, could return to Phase 1 of reopening. “The numbers we are seeing show we have moved too fast,” Tami Sawyer, the commissioner of Shelby County, said in a statement to Memphis ABC affiliate WATN. “Back to business can’t be at the expense of people’s health.”
With 126,000 cases and 2,249 deaths, Texas is a Texas-sized hotspot. “Texas recorded an all-time daily high of 5,489 new Covid-19 cases on Tuesday as hospitals neared capacity in Houston,” reports the Guardian. “The dramatic increase in cases prompted the governor, Greg Abbott, to tighten public health restrictions after resisting calls to slow the state’s reopening process. Cases have steadily increased in Texas since March, but a surge in the past two weeks has activated concerns about the state’s ability to respond.”
As cases surge, “Governor Gary Herbert indicated he would grant a request to allow Salt Lake County to mandate the wearing of face coverings in public,” according to Fox 13. “At a news conference Wednesday, the governor said he believes in ‘local control.'” The state has 17,906 cases and 158 deaths.
Follow the CDC guidelines to remain safe: “Cover your mouth and nose with a cloth face cover when around others”; wash your hands frequently; monitor your health; and “put distance between yourself and other people outside of your home. Remember that some people without symptoms may be able to spread virus. Stay at least 6 feet (about 2 arms’ length) from other people. Keeping distance from others is especially important for people who are at higher risk of getting very sick.” And to get through this pandemic at your healthiest, don’t miss these Things You Should Never Do During the Coronavirus Pandemic.